Observatory of Economic Complexity

Flag Tajikistan

Product Exports (2018): $1.16B, Rank 148 of 222

Exports Per Capita (2018): $128, Rank 103 of 219

Product Imports (2018): $3.63B, Rank 143 of 221

Imports Per Capita (2018): $399, Rank 100 of 219

Service Exports (2017): $204M, Rank 126 of 139

Service Imports (2017): $107M, Rank 135 of 139

GDP (2018): $7.52B, CURRENT US$
Rank 147 of 196

GDP growth (2008 - 2018): 45.8%, CURRENT US$
Rank 86 of 196

GDP PC (2018): $827, CURRENT US$
Rank 177 of 196

GDP PC GROWTH (2008 - 2018): 15.5%, CURRENT US$
Rank 112 of 196

About

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Exports: The top exports of Tajikistan are Gold ($212M), Raw Aluminium ($181M), Zinc Ore ($166M), Lead Ore ($116M), and Copper Ore ($75.2M), exporting mostly to Kazakhstan ($308M), Switzerland ($213M), Turkey ($196M), Uzbekistan ($110M), and Afghanistan ($83.2M).

Imports: The top imports of Tajikistan are Refined Petroleum ($239M), Petroleum Gas ($161M), Wheat ($160M), Planes, Helicopters, and/or Spacecraft ($108M), and Rubber Footwear ($81.1M), importing mostly from China ($1.43B), Russia ($849M), Kazakhstan ($522M), Turkey ($177M), and Uzbekistan ($137M).

Location: Tajikistan borders Afghanistan, China, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan by land.

Product Trade

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Yearly Exports

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Value
Depth

Top Export (2018): Gold, $212M

Top Destination (2018): Kazakhstan, $308M

In 2018, Tajikistan exported a total of $1.16B, making it the number 148 exporter in the world. During the last five reported years the exports of Tajikistan have changed by $376M from $787M in 2013 to $1.16B in 2018.

The most recent exports are led by Gold ($212M), Raw Aluminium ($181M), Zinc Ore ($166M), Lead Ore ($116M), and Copper Ore ($75.2M). The most common destination for the exports of Tajikistan are Kazakhstan ($308M), Switzerland ($213M), Turkey ($196M), Uzbekistan ($110M), and Afghanistan ($83.2M).

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Yearly Imports

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Value
Depth

Top Import (2018): Refined Petroleum, $239M

Top Origin (2018): China, $1.43B

In 2018 Tajikistan imported $3.63B, making it the number 143 trade destination in the world. During the last five reported years the imports of Tajikistan changed by -$427M from $4.06B in 2013 to $3.63B in 2018.

The most recent imports of Tajikistan are led by Refined Petroleum ($239M), Petroleum Gas ($161M), Wheat ($160M), Planes, Helicopters, and/or Spacecraft ($108M), and Rubber Footwear ($81.1M). The most common import partners for Tajikistan are China ($1.43B), Russia ($849M), Kazakhstan ($522M), Turkey ($177M), and Uzbekistan ($137M).

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Market Growth

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Flow

Fastest Growing Export Markets (2017 - 2018)

Fastest Growing Import Markets (2017 - 2018)

Service Trade

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Service Trade

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Tajikistan Exports Services (2017): $204M

Tajikistan Imports Services (2017): $107M

In 2017, Tajikistan exported $204M worth of services. The top services exported by Tajikistan in 2017 were Other transport ($165M), Sea transport ($18.3M), Telecommunications services ($5.35M), Government services, n.i.e. ($5.19M), and Personal travel ($4.54M).

The top services imported by Tajikistan in 2017 were Other transport ($45M), Construction in the compiling economy ($41.5M), Government services, n.i.e. ($5.85M), Miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services ($5.55M), and Telecommunications services ($3.52M).

Forecasts

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Trade Forecasts

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This section shows forecasts for total product exports and imports for Tajikistan. The forecast is based in a long short-term memory model or LSTM constructed using yearly trade data.

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Tariffs

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Tariffs by Product

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The top product import tariffs by their MFN Ad Valorem value for Tajikistan are Ice, snow and potable water not sweetened or flavoure (74.4%) and Ethyl alcohol and other spirits, denatured (43.5%).

Click any of the products in the bar chart to see the specific Ad Valorem Duty Rates by partner country.

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*The tariffs applied to imports for Tajikistan are:
136: Most Favoured Nation duty rate treatement
164: Preferential tariff for Armenia
170: Preferential tariff for Belarus
190: Preferential tariff for Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries
248: Preferential tariff for Kazakhstan
251: Preferential tariff for Kyrgyzstan
254: Preferential tariff for Least Developed Countries
292: Preferential tariff for Russian federation
331: Preferential tariff for Uzbekistan

Economic Complexity

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Most Specialized Products by RCA Index

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Tajikistan has a high level of specialization in Curbstones (660), Lead Ore (311), Zinc Ore (186), Utility Meters (70.4), and Raw Cotton (68.3). Specialization is measured using RCA, an index that takes the ratio between Tajikistan observed and expected exports in each product.

Most Complex Products by PCI

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The highest complexity exports of Tajikistan according to the product complexity index (PCI) are Fluorides and complex fluorine salts (0.59), Glycosides, salts, ethers, esters, other derivatives (0.028), Gas, liquid or electricity supply or production meters (-0.019), Alkali, alkaline-earth metals, rare earths, mercury (-0.092), and Sunflower seeds (-0.42). PCI measures the knowledge intensity of a product by considering the knowledge intensity of its exporters.

Export Opportunities by Relatedness

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The top export opportunities for Tajikistan according to the relatedness index, are Chromium Ore (0.075), Insect Resins (0.072), Wool (0.07), Tin Ores (0.066), and Dried Legumes (0.066). Relatedness measures the distance between a country's current exports and each product. The barchart show only products that Tajikistan is not specialized in.

Product Space

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The product space is a network connecting products that are likely to be co-exported. The product space can be used to predict future exports, since countries are more likely to start exporting products that are related to current exports. Relatedness measures the distance between a product, and all of the products it is currently specialized in.

Diversification Frontier

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Filter
Depth

The Complexity-Relatedness diagram compares the risk and the strategic value of a country's potential export oppotunities. Relatedness is a predictive of the probability that a country increases its exports in a product. Complexity, is associated with higher levels of income, economic growth, less income inequality, and lower emissions.

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